Travel Demand Forecasts

MRCOG provides a variety of travel demand forecasting services to our member agencies using the Regional Transportation Model. This model predicts travel demand for automobile, transit, bicycle, and walk trips for Metropolitan Transportation Plan analysis years. Model data can be analyzed for peak hour characteristics or compiled to identify daily trends. Traffic analysis is done on a system-wide basis and focuses on travel patterns and trends.

In addition, MRCOG provides detailed traffic studies to member agencies to assist them in their transportation decisions, including future alternative scenarios for a variety of road network and transit options.

Data Sets

Current Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP) travel demand forecast data sets from Regional Travel Demand Model (Emme / 2) are available by request. TAZ / DASZ socio-economic datasets are in .dbf format.

  • Minimum path analysis and Origin/Destination (O-D) statistics for MTP forecast years
  • Morning, afternoon, and off-peak traffic forecasts with: Directional link volumes
    • Vehicle Hours of Delay (VHD)
    • Vehicle Hours Traveled (VHT)
    • Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT)
    • Volume/Capacity (V / C) ratios
  • Travel modeling for study or project scenarios that require modifications to MTP datasets and networks is available upon request depending on scope of work, staff time, and available resources

Note

The MRCOG does not produce intersection turning movement forecasts. These should be provided by qualified professional traffic engineers using the link volumes and other outputs from the MRCOG Regional Travel Demand Model for the current MTP.

Travel Model Recalibration and Validation Report

View copy of the MRCOG Regional Travel Model Recalibration and Validation Report (PDF).